757
FXUS65 KVEF 311119
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
419 AM PDT Sun May 31 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Seasonably warm and quiet weather anticipated through the upcoming
  work week.

* A trough approaches next weekend, increasing winds and cooling
  temperatures slightly.

&&

.DISCUSSION...through next weekend.

The next 6 days look to be rather quiet as storm systems stay to the
north and south of us. During this time, temperatures gradually warm
to ~5 degrees above normal, resulting in widespread minor to
moderate HeatRisk. Afternoons will be breezy, but chances for
impactful winds remain below 30%. Dry conditions prevail with PoPs
under 10% each day.

As we head into next week, ensemble guidance depicts a broad trough
approaching the western US. Currently looks like the bulk of the
system will stay to our north, but should see enough influence to
cause gusty south-southwest winds. Too soon to get into explicit
wind speeds, but chances for impactful winds range from 30-60%
across most of the area. In addition, forecast temperatures get
knocked down a few degrees thanks to the system, but rain chances
remain below 10%.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 12Z Forecast Package...Winds
will remain light through the forecast period and generally
follow typical daily directional patterns with some variability.
Wind speeds are expected to remain under 8KT, with only a low
(20%) chance of seeing winds reach 10KT. VFR conditions will
continue with a few clouds this afternoon with bases around 12kft.


For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 12Z Forecast Package...Winds the next 24
hours will generally remain under 10KT region-wide, with the
exception of the western Mojave Desert (KDAG) where winds will
hover around 10-12KT early this morning, becoming gusty late this
afternoon and tonight with gusts to around 20-25KT expected.
Otherwise, winds generally follow typical daily directional
patterns with some variability, though a brief period of westerly
winds cannot be ruled out across the northern Owens Valley (KBIH)
late this afternoon into this evening. VFR conditions prevail with
a few clouds around 10-12kft expected to develop near the higher
terrain this afternoon.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Woods
AVIATION...Phillipson

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NWS Las Vegas (VEF) Office